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NNTP-Posting-Date: Sat, 04 Nov 2006 20:48:31 -0600
From: Jud McCranie
Newsgroups: rec.games.chess.misc
Subject: Elo on Fischer's conditions vs. Karpov
Date: Sat, 04 Nov 2006 21:48:29 -0500
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On 4 Nov 2006 18:10:17 -0800, "help bot"
wrote:

In particular, step number 3 falls flat on its face when it
mistakenly tries to equate a toss of a coin (random chance)
to GM Fischer winning that 10th game. (Insert Blairian
quote here, of GM Fischer stating that chess is a game of
*skill*.)

Right - there is a fatal flaw - a false assumption. The part about if
it is tied 9-9, each player has an equal chance of being the first to
win 10 games. False - the better player has the best chance to be the
first to win a 10th game. To illustrate this even better, carry it to
the extreme. Suppose it gets to 1-1. Then the players are equal, and
each has an equal chance to win the next game?? If it gets to 1-1,
should the champion retain his title?
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