On Nov 7, 12:20 pm, help bot wrote:
On Nov 7, 12:16 pm, Rob wrote:
Interesting toy to mess with. Interesting to test it with actual
performances.
http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/aging/chess.htm
Ridiculous! It predicts that at age 100, I will be back
where I started at 1000 on GetClub.
Seriously, I think they factored in certain assumptions
about players starting out young, reaching their peaks
fairly rapidly -- that sort of thing. My decline should be
much faster than predicted by this tool, unless rampant
ratings inflation returns soon (like right now).
-- help bot
LOL
It predicted Korchnois to within 100 points. He actually scored higher
than the predictor... but thats not bad over a 30 to 40 year span.