"Guy Macon" http://www.guymacon.com/ wrote in message
...



David Richerby wrote:

Guy Macon http://www.guymacon.com/ wrote:

In Test Cricket, roughly 30% of matches are drawn. A toss taking
place with no ball being bowled is fairly rare, so the change would
be, I am guessing, 1% or less.

There have been approximately 1850 Tests. My guess is that not more
than one or two of those could have been affected by the rule change.
The toss is not made until conditions are good enough to play: in
particular, if it rains solidly for the whole five days, the toss will
not be made. So, for the toss to be made but no cricket played, the
weather would have to become good enough to look like play would start
and then deteriorate again between the toss and the scheduled start
time, which is about fifteen minutes, I think.

Good point. Looks like the difference is 0.1% or less.


Or to put it another way, we still don't have an example
of rule changes made with a purpose of increasing the
number of ties.

Why do you suppose that is?