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Old April 27th 08, 01:51 PM posted to rec.games.chess.misc,rec.games.chess.politics
David Richerby
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Default "Kasparov Retains Title on a Draw"

=?iso-8859-1?Q?J=FCrgen_R.?= wrote:
If challenger and champion have the same chance of winning
a 24-game match then the champion will retain the title
75% of the time, winning either the match or the rematch.


You're assuming independence, which seems unlikely, to me.


Dave.

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