In article ,
David Richerby wrote:

It may
be that the effect you're seeing is a starting transient -- systems like
this take a while to settle down to the `true rating'.


It's a fallacy to think about an ELO rating as a random variable
estimating someone's "true rating," since a person's strength changes
over time (in technical terms, the quantity is not stable).

--Harold Buck


"I used to rock and roll all night,
and party every day.
Then it was every other day. . . ."
-Homer J. Simpson