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| Tags: backgammon, switched |
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#31
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"Terry" wrote
Luck plays no part in backgammon at all. What do you think will happen if you play the backgammon world champion over 100 games. The better player will always win over a period of time. Luck obviously plays a part if you only play 1 game. Some people say there is more skill to poker then in chess and I tend to agree. Toss a coin once and luck dertermines whether you win or lose. Toss it 1000 times and what do you think the result will be. According to you Bridge is all luck because it depends on card deal. You do not understand the meaning of the word "luck" or the mathematical definition of "chance." To say that "luck plays no part in backgammon at all" is beyond ignorant. You roll the dice, and you make the best move on that basis. You can win or lose the game, but given an equal skill level the guy with the best dice will win. Is that not luck, or chance? Over 100 games there is a decent chance that a very good backgammon player will beat a world backgammon champion several times. There is almost no chance you will beat a 2600 chess player one out of 100 games, even if he's on crack, drunk, and has just screwed 13 women in 2 hours. |
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#32
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wrote But in tournament chess, there *is* luck of a kind. In a typical Swiss system tournament, your pairings (particularly in large sections) have an element of chance. I've been paired against an 1800 player in one round and a 300 player in another. In my original post I cited situations like this as the "luck" in chess. Still, if you play the best move you will win all the time. That's the great thing about chess. I've followed tournament bridge for 25 years and read avidly on the subject although I hardly ever play. The element of luck in bridge is substantial, and all great players recognize it. I would imagine it would be much more so in backgammon. As one poster pointed out it's relatively common for a duffer to beat top players at bridge. I have had incredibly good rounds against sitting world champions. I've played in events where 2600 equivalent bridge players playing together finished out of the money and I placed ahead of them. A game where expertise is buttressed by statistics is, in effect, a game of chance. |
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#33
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#34
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"Ange1o DePa1ma" wrote in message ... wrote But in tournament chess, there *is* luck of a kind. In a typical Swiss system tournament, your pairings (particularly in large sections) have an element of chance. I've been paired against an 1800 player in one round and a 300 player in another. In my original post I cited situations like this as the "luck" in chess. Still, if you play the best move you will win all the time. That's the great thing about chess. I've followed tournament bridge for 25 years and read avidly on the subject although I hardly ever play. The element of luck in bridge is substantial, and all great players recognize it. I would imagine it would be much more so in backgammon. As one poster pointed out it's relatively common for a duffer to beat top players at bridge. I have had incredibly good rounds against sitting world champions. I've played in events where 2600 equivalent bridge players playing together finished out of the money and I placed ahead of them. A game where expertise is buttressed by statistics is, in effect, a game of chance. Poker is a game of chance ?? |
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#35
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"Inconnux" wrote in message ps.com... You simply have no grasp of probabilties. Do you agree that in poker the better player will always win over a period of time. Regards yes Ive taken statistics... But onviously never understood it. |
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#36
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Inconnux wrote:
'Luck' evens out over a period of time. sure over a period of time, but in each individual game luck plays a HUGE factor in these types of games. It's possible to win a single game of backgammon through luck but very unusual to win, say, a match to eight points. (Which isn't especially long -- individual games don't last very long at all.) The law of large numbers holds pretty well over that sort of time frame. Although from what was posted about contract bridge, it sounds like there is some skill in that game. I suspect that, if you were to play some backgammon against a reasonably experienced player, you would be surprised by just how consistently `unlucky' you were. Dave. -- David Richerby Crystal Priest (TM): it's like a www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~davidr/ man of the cloth but it's completely transparent! |
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#37
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Inconnux wrote:
lol now that is pure crap... if you roll the dice and you get crap numbers, there is NO way to win The skill in backgammon is in positioning your men to minimize the number of rolls that are bad for you. Dave. -- David Richerby Disposable Goldfish (TM): it's like www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~davidr/ a fish but you never have to clean it! |
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#38
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Inconnux wrote:
Lets put it this way... If I played ONE game against the world backgammon champion I have a chance at winning due to good dice rolls. But you don't play just one game. You play a match to eight and you'll lose almost every time. Dave. -- David Richerby Sumerian Gnome (TM): it's like www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~davidr/ a smiling garden ornament that's really old! |
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#39
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Terry wrote:
"Inconnux" wrote: You simply have no grasp of probabilties. Do you agree that in poker the better player will always win over a period of time. yes Ive taken statistics... But onviously never understood it. Not necessarily. Knowing that the better player will win over a period of time isn't much use: what if that period of time is so long that it's inconvenient or even impossible to play a statistically significant match? The point with backgammon, at least, is that you don't need to play for a very long time for the better player to pull ahead. Dave. -- David Richerby Enormous Chocolate Shack (TM): it's www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~davidr/ like a house in the woods that's made of chocolate but it's huge! |
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#40
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David Richerby wrote:
Inconnux wrote: lol now that is pure crap... if you roll the dice and you get crap numbers, there is NO way to win The skill in backgammon is in positioning your men to minimize the number of rolls that are bad for you. And using the doubling cube. Among those skills in backgammon are such diverse elements as fear, surprise, positioning your men to minimize the number of rolls that are bad for you, using the doubling cube and, oh, I'll come in again. Dave. -- David Richerby Disposable Pickled.com (TM): it's www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~davidr/ like an E-commerce portal but it's preserved in vinegar and you never have to clean it! |
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