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USCF Rating the Olympiad
We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. By contrast, I want to rate the entire Olympiad including all the players using the same standard USCF rating system that is already used for all other events. This will require no additional programming by Mike Nolan. The only real cost will be the time it will take to assign USCF ID numbers to the approximately one thousand Olympiad players who do not already have USCF ratings. This cost is minimal compared to he cost of rating the four thousand kids who play in a national scholastic event. More than that, this is only a one time charge, as one these once thousand Olympiad players have a USCF rating and ID number, that will be completed and permanent. My plan is to go into competition with FIDE. Once we rate an Olympiad, every nation in the world will have ten USCF rated players, 6 men and four women. This will encourage them to come to the US to compete in our tournaments. I also propose to sell our rating system to other countries and make some money. Right now there are 400,000 players with USCF ratings. An Olympiad has about 1200 players. Incorporating those 1200 players into our rating system will be a minor cost, and has the potential for great benefits in the long run. Every time I go to an Olympiad and every time I compete internationally, I am approached by players who want to come to the US to compete. The stumbling block that is stopping these players from coming to the US is the rating system. If they are rated 2205 by FIDE (which is the most common rating) and they want to play in the World Open, they will be assigned a 2305 rating. Most of these 2205 players are only about 2000 strength (I base that on having played them myself), so they would have no chance and would just be humiliated if they had to play as a 2305 player. It takes 24 games to get an established USCF rating, so they would have to stay here for a long time to be able to complete for class prizes. My plan gives them a rating before they come here and encourages them to play for USCF rating points, which is what most players play for anyway. In recent Olympiad there were about 1200 players and 140 of them already had a USCF rating having played in US tournaments in the past. Another important point is that the FIDE rating system is completely different from the USCF rating system. They both started the same but they have gone in different directions. There are players whose USCF rating is 500 points above or below their FIDE rating. Goichberg's plan to rate the Olympiad by using a conversion formula to adjust a players USCF rating based on his FIDE rating is just absolute nonsense; a ridiculous, stupid and extremely costly idea. Saying that will probably get me censured again but I have to speak the truth regardless of the consequences. I consider this to be the most important single thing I can accomplish while I am on the board and I will continue to press for it. Sam Sloan |
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samsloan wrote: USCF Rating the Olympiad We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. By contrast, I want to rate the entire Olympiad including all the players using the same standard USCF rating system that is already used for all other events. This will require no additional programming by Mike Nolan. The only real cost will be the time it will take to assign USCF ID numbers to the approximately one thousand Olympiad players who do not already have USCF ratings. This cost is minimal compared to he cost of rating the four thousand kids who play in a national scholastic event. More than that, this is only a one time charge, as one these once thousand Olympiad players have a USCF rating and ID number, that will be completed and permanent. Sam, Wouldn't you still have to assign them some sort of initial USCF rating ? WOuldn't that require some conversion table? I think you idea has merit but I don't see how you can get around assigning some sort of "converted" rating initially. Wount there be a problem with providing a rating service for non members too? Just curious. I don't have any better ideas I just wondered how that might be handled. Thanks, Rob My plan is to go into competition with FIDE. Once we rate an Olympiad, every nation in the world will have ten USCF rated players, 6 men and four women. This will encourage them to come to the US to compete in our tournaments. I also propose to sell our rating system to other countries and make some money. Right now there are 400,000 players with USCF ratings. An Olympiad has about 1200 players. Incorporating those 1200 players into our rating system will be a minor cost, and has the potential for great benefits in the long run. Every time I go to an Olympiad and every time I compete internationally, I am approached by players who want to come to the US to compete. The stumbling block that is stopping these players from coming to the US is the rating system. If they are rated 2205 by FIDE (which is the most common rating) and they want to play in the World Open, they will be assigned a 2305 rating. Most of these 2205 players are only about 2000 strength (I base that on having played them myself), so they would have no chance and would just be humiliated if they had to play as a 2305 player. It takes 24 games to get an established USCF rating, so they would have to stay here for a long time to be able to complete for class prizes. My plan gives them a rating before they come here and encourages them to play for USCF rating points, which is what most players play for anyway. In recent Olympiad there were about 1200 players and 140 of them already had a USCF rating having played in US tournaments in the past. Another important point is that the FIDE rating system is completely different from the USCF rating system. They both started the same but they have gone in different directions. There are players whose USCF rating is 500 points above or below their FIDE rating. Goichberg's plan to rate the Olympiad by using a conversion formula to adjust a players USCF rating based on his FIDE rating is just absolute nonsense; a ridiculous, stupid and extremely costly idea. Saying that will probably get me censured again but I have to speak the truth regardless of the consequences. I consider this to be the most important single thing I can accomplish while I am on the board and I will continue to press for it. Sam Sloan |
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#3
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Sam
Exactly how many USCF players would benefit from rating the Olympaids? Am I correct in my assumption that you have written a lengtly article for the benefit of 4 US players? Marcus Roberts samsloan wrote: USCF Rating the Olympiad We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. By contrast, I want to rate the entire Olympiad including all the players using the same standard USCF rating system that is already used for all other events. This will require no additional programming by Mike Nolan. The only real cost will be the time it will take to assign USCF ID numbers to the approximately one thousand Olympiad players who do not already have USCF ratings. This cost is minimal compared to he cost of rating the four thousand kids who play in a national scholastic event. More than that, this is only a one time charge, as one these once thousand Olympiad players have a USCF rating and ID number, that will be completed and permanent. My plan is to go into competition with FIDE. Once we rate an Olympiad, every nation in the world will have ten USCF rated players, 6 men and four women. This will encourage them to come to the US to compete in our tournaments. I also propose to sell our rating system to other countries and make some money. Right now there are 400,000 players with USCF ratings. An Olympiad has about 1200 players. Incorporating those 1200 players into our rating system will be a minor cost, and has the potential for great benefits in the long run. Every time I go to an Olympiad and every time I compete internationally, I am approached by players who want to come to the US to compete. The stumbling block that is stopping these players from coming to the US is the rating system. If they are rated 2205 by FIDE (which is the most common rating) and they want to play in the World Open, they will be assigned a 2305 rating. Most of these 2205 players are only about 2000 strength (I base that on having played them myself), so they would have no chance and would just be humiliated if they had to play as a 2305 player. It takes 24 games to get an established USCF rating, so they would have to stay here for a long time to be able to complete for class prizes. My plan gives them a rating before they come here and encourages them to play for USCF rating points, which is what most players play for anyway. In recent Olympiad there were about 1200 players and 140 of them already had a USCF rating having played in US tournaments in the past. Another important point is that the FIDE rating system is completely different from the USCF rating system. They both started the same but they have gone in different directions. There are players whose USCF rating is 500 points above or below their FIDE rating. Goichberg's plan to rate the Olympiad by using a conversion formula to adjust a players USCF rating based on his FIDE rating is just absolute nonsense; a ridiculous, stupid and extremely costly idea. Saying that will probably get me censured again but I have to speak the truth regardless of the consequences. I consider this to be the most important single thing I can accomplish while I am on the board and I will continue to press for it. Sam Sloan |
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#4
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On 4 Jan 2007 06:52:27 -0800, "samsloan" wrote:
USCF Rating the Olympiad We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. What's the conversion formula that has to be programmed ? |
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#5
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#6
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samsloan )
wrote (4 Jan 2007 06:52:27 -0800): 7 ... If they are rated 2205 by FIDE (which is the most 7 common rating) and they want to play in the World 7 Open, they will be assigned a 2305 rating. ... _ According to the procedure described below, a 2205 FIDE rating would be converted to a 2205.625 USCF rating. _ "The current FIDE-to-USCF conversion formula, which the Ratings Commttee spent quite a bit of time working on, is as follows: _ For someone whose FIDE rating is 2600 or higher, their starting USCF rating is their FIDE rating + 50 points. _ For someone whose FIDE rating is between 2200 and 2599, their starting [USCF] rating is their FIDE rating + 1/8 of the difference between 2200 and their FIDE rating. (Someone who is FIDE 2200 gets a 2200 USCF rating, someone who is FIDE 2400 gets a 2425 USCF rating, etc.) _ For someone whose FIDE rating is below 2200, their starting rating is their FIDE rating. _ In all cases these are set up as provisional ratings. If the player's FIDE rating is 2150 or higher, it is P/10, otherwise it is P/5." - Nolan (Fri Mar 24, 2006 9:18 am) |
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#7
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"samsloan" writes:
USCF Rating the Olympiad We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. History: 15 years ago, when the USCF office was doing the processing of ratings for FIDE, I am told that the USCF also used that data to adjust our player's USCF ratings, though I don't know the exact mechanics of what was being done. In September 2005 the Board passed a proposal by the objections procedure which listed around 8 events that the USCF sends official representatives to, such as the Olympiads, and mandated that our players' performance in these events be reflected on those players' USCF rating. (USCF members could also request in advance of a foreign FIDE event that it affect their USCF rating, there is a small fee for this.) The Ratings Committee had come up with a way to do this using the information on the FIDE website once the event had been rated by FIDE. However, Bill Goichberg wanted (and the board proposal preferred but did not mandate) a formula with a higher 'K' factor than the one in the Ratings Committee's formula. The Ratings Committee felt that a higher K was mathematically unadvisable. Eventually Bill relented and agreed to use the Ratings Committee's methodology, their white paper on this is available at: http://math.bu.edu/people/mg/ratings/fideuscf.pdf The programming to implement these adjustments was completed in early November 2006 and the named or requested events that had occurred between October 2005 and October 2006 were processed. This affected around 20 players in the 2006 Annual List. The person at the USCF office who made these entries estimated that it took him around 18 hours to gather and enter the data for a total of around 48 entries, but I suspect that was largely due to learning curve issues, such as knowing what events to look up and where to find the data on the FIDE website. I think in the long run this task will take 3-5 minutes per player per event. (That means the 2008 Olympiad, where the USCF would have a total of 10 representatives, might take around an hour to research and enter.) One limitation of this process is that it only works after the player has a published FIDE rating, which requires 9 FIDE ratable games. Thus for some players representing the USCF, such as most of the participants in the World Youth Championships, there would be no adjustments to make as they do not yet have a FIDE rating. Interestingly enough, Greg Shahade chided the USCF for making adjustments based on events like the Olympiad in his column in Chess Life Online on the December Ratings List even though he was still on the Executive Board in September 2005 when that proposal was initially approved by the Board. Bill has urged that we now rate all the events of all USCF members participating in FIDE rated events. In a typical FIDE Rating List there are around 500 USA players listed, thus it may take as much as 40 hours of staff time each quarter to look up the FIDE tournament history for all of those players, take out the events that were also USCF rated, like the World Open, and then look up each of the remaining players and events on the FIDE website and enter that data into USCF rcords. Sam Sloan has a different idea, he wants the USCF to rate the entire event for events like the Olympiad. There were about 900 players in the 2004 Olympiad, 10 of them representing the USA, aother 200 or so who had USCF IDs and ratings, some of them a decade or more out-of-date, and the rest were not in the USCF database at all. (About 100 of those players did not have FIDE IDs or ratings even after the 2004 Olympiad was rated by FIDE.) My estimate was that IF a full crosstable could have been located it would have taken around 100 hours of staff time to look up all of the players to see if they had USCF IDs, assign IDs where needed, update out-of-date USCF ratings in many cases and then enter the crosstable data. Jerry Nash, the person who serves as the USCF office's liaison with FIDE, thinks it would take much longer than that. -- Mike Nolan |
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#8
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Mike Nolan wrote: "samsloan" writes: USCF Rating the Olympiad We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. History: 15 years ago, when the USCF office was doing the processing of ratings for FIDE, I am told that the USCF also used that data to adjust our player's USCF ratings, though I don't know the exact mechanics of what was being done. In September 2005 the Board passed a proposal by the objections procedure which listed around 8 events that the USCF sends official representatives to, such as the Olympiads, and mandated that our players' performance in these events be reflected on those players' USCF rating. (USCF members could also request in advance of a foreign FIDE event that it affect their USCF rating, there is a small fee for this.) The Ratings Committee had come up with a way to do this using the information on the FIDE website once the event had been rated by FIDE. However, Bill Goichberg wanted (and the board proposal preferred but did not mandate) a formula with a higher 'K' factor than the one in the Ratings Committee's formula. The Ratings Committee felt that a higher K was mathematically unadvisable. Eventually Bill relented and agreed to use the Ratings Committee's methodology, their white paper on this is available at: http://math.bu.edu/people/mg/ratings/fideuscf.pdf The programming to implement these adjustments was completed in early November 2006 and the named or requested events that had occurred between October 2005 and October 2006 were processed. This affected around 20 players in the 2006 Annual List. The person at the USCF office who made these entries estimated that it took him around 18 hours to gather and enter the data for a total of around 48 entries, but I suspect that was largely due to learning curve issues, such as knowing what events to look up and where to find the data on the FIDE website. I think in the long run this task will take 3-5 minutes per player per event. (That means the 2008 Olympiad, where the USCF would have a total of 10 representatives, might take around an hour to research and enter.) One limitation of this process is that it only works after the player has a published FIDE rating, which requires 9 FIDE ratable games. Thus for some players representing the USCF, such as most of the participants in the World Youth Championships, there would be no adjustments to make as they do not yet have a FIDE rating. Interestingly enough, Greg Shahade chided the USCF for making adjustments based on events like the Olympiad in his column in Chess Life Online on the December Ratings List even though he was still on the Executive Board in September 2005 when that proposal was initially approved by the Board. Bill has urged that we now rate all the events of all USCF members participating in FIDE rated events. In a typical FIDE Rating List there are around 500 USA players listed, thus it may take as much as 40 hours of staff time each quarter to look up the FIDE tournament history for all of those players, take out the events that were also USCF rated, like the World Open, and then look up each of the remaining players and events on the FIDE website and enter that data into USCF rcords. Sam Sloan has a different idea, he wants the USCF to rate the entire event for events like the Olympiad. There were about 900 players in the 2004 Olympiad, 10 of them representing the USA, aother 200 or so who had USCF IDs and ratings, some of them a decade or more out-of-date, and the rest were not in the USCF database at all. (About 100 of those players did not have FIDE IDs or ratings even after the 2004 Olympiad was rated by FIDE.) My estimate was that IF a full crosstable could have been located it would have taken around 100 hours of staff time to look up all of the players to see if they had USCF IDs, assign IDs where needed, update out-of-date USCF ratings in many cases and then enter the crosstable data. Jerry Nash, the person who serves as the USCF office's liaison with FIDE, thinks it would take much longer than that. -- Mike Nolan I have read what Mike Nolan has to say. In my opinoin, the USCF lacks the financial resources to rate these FIDE events becasue the impact on the membership is too low. This idea, while interesting, will bankrupt the USCF. You have either got to be a NERD or BUSINESSMAN about this. What you need to do is instruct your FIDE Delegate to get FIDE to move the ratings office *BACK* to the USCF, which I will support. Marcus Roberts Permanent Delegate of St Kitts and Nevis to FIDE |
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#10
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Sam,
IF you write down what you intend to do with the money, and it makes sense to me, I will consider loaning you some money. You can demonstrate your expereience as an Executive Board member about how you would use 25,000 dollars to fight the USCF. Marcus Rboerts samsloan wrote: wrote: Mike Nolan wrote: "samsloan" writes: USCF Rating the Olympiad We have been having a debate at USCF Executive Board meetings. Bill Goichberg wants to USCF rate the Olympiads by adjusting the USCF ratings of the players by a conversion formula. One of the many problems with this idea is that Mike Nolan will have to write a computer program to do this, plus it will take approximately 40 to 50 hours of staff time every two years thereafter. History: 15 years ago, when the USCF office was doing the processing of ratings for FIDE, I am told that the USCF also used that data to adjust our player's USCF ratings, though I don't know the exact mechanics of what was being done. In September 2005 the Board passed a proposal by the objections procedure which listed around 8 events that the USCF sends official representatives to, such as the Olympiads, and mandated that our players' performance in these events be reflected on those players' USCF rating. (USCF members could also request in advance of a foreign FIDE event that it affect their USCF rating, there is a small fee for this.) The Ratings Committee had come up with a way to do this using the information on the FIDE website once the event had been rated by FIDE. However, Bill Goichberg wanted (and the board proposal preferred but did not mandate) a formula with a higher 'K' factor than the one in the Ratings Committee's formula. The Ratings Committee felt that a higher K was mathematically unadvisable. Eventually Bill relented and agreed to use the Ratings Committee's methodology, their white paper on this is available at: http://math.bu.edu/people/mg/ratings/fideuscf.pdf The programming to implement these adjustments was completed in early November 2006 and the named or requested events that had occurred between October 2005 and October 2006 were processed. This affected around 20 players in the 2006 Annual List. The person at the USCF office who made these entries estimated that it took him around 18 hours to gather and enter the data for a total of around 48 entries, but I suspect that was largely due to learning curve issues, such as knowing what events to look up and where to find the data on the FIDE website. I think in the long run this task will take 3-5 minutes per player per event. (That means the 2008 Olympiad, where the USCF would have a total of 10 representatives, might take around an hour to research and enter.) One limitation of this process is that it only works after the player has a published FIDE rating, which requires 9 FIDE ratable games. Thus for some players representing the USCF, such as most of the participants in the World Youth Championships, there would be no adjustments to make as they do not yet have a FIDE rating. Interestingly enough, Greg Shahade chided the USCF for making adjustments based on events like the Olympiad in his column in Chess Life Online on the December Ratings List even though he was still on the Executive Board in September 2005 when that proposal was initially approved by the Board. Bill has urged that we now rate all the events of all USCF members participating in FIDE rated events. In a typical FIDE Rating List there are around 500 USA players listed, thus it may take as much as 40 hours of staff time each quarter to look up the FIDE tournament history for all of those players, take out the events that were also USCF rated, like the World Open, and then look up each of the remaining players and events on the FIDE website and enter that data into USCF rcords. Sam Sloan has a different idea, he wants the USCF to rate the entire event for events like the Olympiad. There were about 900 players in the 2004 Olympiad, 10 of them representing the USA, aother 200 or so who had USCF IDs and ratings, some of them a decade or more out-of-date, and the rest were not in the USCF database at all. (About 100 of those players did not have FIDE IDs or ratings even after the 2004 Olympiad was rated by FIDE.) My estimate was that IF a full crosstable could have been located it would have taken around 100 hours of staff time to look up all of the players to see if they had USCF IDs, assign IDs where needed, update out-of-date USCF ratings in many cases and then enter the crosstable data. Jerry Nash, the person who serves as the USCF office's liaison with FIDE, thinks it would take much longer than that. -- Mike Nolan I have read what Mike Nolan has to say. In my opinoin, the USCF lacks the financial resources to rate these FIDE events becasue the impact on the membership is too low. This idea, while interesting, will bankrupt the USCF. You have either got to be a NERD or BUSINESSMAN about this. What you need to do is instruct your FIDE Delegate to get FIDE to move the ratings office *BACK* to the USCF, which I will support. Marcus Roberts Permanent Delegate of St Kitts and Nevis to FIDE Mike Nolan is working against me. He doesn't want to validate my election petition. Will you lend me $25,000 to fight the USCF? Sam Sloan |
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