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Expert Opinion: Mottershead Report Valid



 
 
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  #1  
Old January 23rd 08, 09:03 PM posted to rec.games.chess.politics
p944dc
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 23
Default Expert Opinion: Mottershead Report Valid

http://chessusa.blogspot.com/2008/01...ad-report.html

Donna Alarie has emailed the following expert opinion regarding the
validity of the techniques used in what has become known as The
Mottershead Report. The expert, David Ulevitch of OpenDNS.com states
the following:

Opinion of Mottershead report submitted to the USCF

David Ulevitch
December 17, 2007


Introduction

On or around October 5th, 2007 I was contacted by a reporter from
The New York Times to provide some background information and expert
advice regarding an article he was preparing that was ultimately
published on October 8th, 2007 as "Chess Group Officials Accused of
Using Internet to Hurt Rivals."

My background in Internet Security spans almost 10 years during
which time I have worked for Internet Service Providers, Universities
and businesses, as well as run a number of my own. I am considered an
expert security practitioner. I have also had extensive experience
working with various national and international law enforcement
organizations in a consulting capacity.

My intention in this letter is to provide a perspective on the
techniques used by Brian Mottershead in his report to the USCF. This
report should be considered a preliminary release. My analysis of the
Mottershead report is complete but I expect I may revise this report
to add clarification as needed based on feedback. I am happy to do so.
For the record, I have never been a member of the USCF, I do not know
any of the parties involved personally and I have no known vested
interest in this issue other than to help provide an honest and
accurate perspective of the Mottershead report.

My initial reaction to the Mottershead report was an appreciation
for the detailed level of evidence and chronology of research that is
provided. Typically, when doing computer forensics, it is common to
attempt to tie what you know with what you don't know. This is exactly
what Mr. Mottershead did, many times in his report. When you can
correlate the known with the unknown as many times as Mr. Mottershead
did in his report you create a crystal clear depiction of activity and
actions that can stand up on their own. Furthermore, subpoenaing
billing records from both ISPs and credit card companies can extend
this chain of evidence by directly linking an IP address to the ISP
and to an individual paying the bills. It is my opinion, and as I'll
show from some examples below, I find this step unnecessary.

Excerpt 1:

Since the IP addresses of Usenet posters are public information,
and in the USCF web logs and database I had information as to the IP
addresses of USCF members accessing the forums, it seemed likely that
I would be able to identify the USCF member account that was being
used by the Fake Sam Sloan to mis-appropriate USCF Issues forum posts
for his posts on Usenet.

Mr. Mottershead is accurate in his explanation of what he wants to
accomplish. He is correct in stating that Usenet postings are tied to
an IP address. The IP address recorded in these types of posts cannot
be spoofed. He also knows the login name for the parties involved on
the internal USCF member forums and their posting IP address. This too
cannot be spoofed. By connecting what he knows, with what is publicly
archived by Google (and others) he can create a direct correlation.

Mr. Mottershead shows clearly through examples (a) (b) and (c)
that the IP addresses posting to Usenet and the physical location of
Mr. Truong are directly connected. He also connects that to the known
forum identity of Mr. Truong. To be clear, three facts have just been
established:

1)The Usenet postings are being posted from the same physical
location that Mr. Truong is believed to be in at the time of the
posting.
2)The IP addresses on the USCF forums, which are tied to the
username used by Mr. Truong, are also being made from the same
physical location that Mr. Truong is believed to be in at the time of
the posting.
3)In nearly all cases, the IP addresses tied to the Usenet
postings are the same as the USCF forum posting IP addresses.

What about someone spoofing all of this?

Often, people say that they were spoofed or that their IP address
was hijacked. While it is possible that someone can sometimes change
his or her posting name on a forum or a message board to look like
that of another user (consider "Bob" and "Bob "), the IP address
cannot be spoofed.
Let me explain why an IP address cannot be spoofed. First, for a
post to Usenet to happen it requires that there exist, at the most
rudimentary level, what is known as the "TCP Three-way handshake."
This handshake is when two machines on the Internet wish to establish
a connection. In layman terms, in order for that handshake to occur
the sender extends a signal to the recipient saying, "Here I am, let's
talk." The recipient replies to the sender saying, "Okay, go ahead."
Finally the sender acknowledges that they have shaken hands. In order
for this back and forth to occur, which is required for any Usenet
posting to happen, the IP addresses cannot be spoofed or the handshake
would never complete.

What if someone was following around Mr. Truong?

This is highly unlikely given the preponderance of evidence,
however it can be easily proven false by correlating ISP billing
records to IP address leases. ISPs maintain a timestamped log of what
customer is assigned what IP address at what time.

What if someone used Mr. Truong's name on the ISP bill?

Again, as we enter areas of criminal identity fraud, it is
unlikely someone would go to these measures to cover their tracks,
however, this can be verified by contacting the credit card issuer and
verifying it is a legitimate account in good standing and correlating
purchases on the card with other known valid purchases.

Conclusion

The report provides over a dozen different data points from IP
addresses to locations to user-agents and more that all lead to a
single conclusion with an overwhelming amount of evidence. The methods
used by Mr. Mottershead were appropriate and accurate. There is also
far too much public evidence for it to have been tampered with. Even
if the forum logs were compromised, that doesn't change the Usenet
postings and the surrounding evidence, which could not have been
altered.

It's my belief that this report has been compiled in an accurate
way that deserves recognition for its comprehensive depth and detail.



Thank you,
David Ulevitch



Briefly, Brian Mottershead issued a report, now known as The
Mottershead Report, on September 26, 2007 in which he charged that
Paul Truong is responsible for assuming others' identities and posting
objectionable messages on Usenet's rec.games.chess.politics.

Robert Jones of Craic Computing LLC had issued an expert opinion
previously as well.

http://rs235.rapidshare.com/files/62...ottershead.zip
http://craic.com/forensics/uscf_usen...t_20071206.pdf
Ads
  #2  
Old January 24th 08, 02:52 AM posted to rec.games.chess.politics
johnny_t
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 138
Default Expert Opinion: Mottershead Report Valid

B... But.. But... She said... Susan Polgar said he said he never did
it. It was her final word. She SAID it. Cripes... Evidence, or ...
What she said....




p944dc wrote:
http://chessusa.blogspot.com/2008/01...ad-report.html

Donna Alarie has emailed the following expert opinion regarding the
validity of the techniques used in what has become known as The
Mottershead Report. The expert, David Ulevitch of OpenDNS.com states
the following:

Opinion of Mottershead report submitted to the USCF

David Ulevitch
December 17, 2007


Introduction

On or around October 5th, 2007 I was contacted by a reporter from
The New York Times to provide some background information and expert
advice regarding an article he was preparing that was ultimately
published on October 8th, 2007 as "Chess Group Officials Accused of
Using Internet to Hurt Rivals."

My background in Internet Security spans almost 10 years during
which time I have worked for Internet Service Providers, Universities
and businesses, as well as run a number of my own. I am considered an
expert security practitioner. I have also had extensive experience
working with various national and international law enforcement
organizations in a consulting capacity.

My intention in this letter is to provide a perspective on the
techniques used by Brian Mottershead in his report to the USCF. This
report should be considered a preliminary release. My analysis of the
Mottershead report is complete but I expect I may revise this report
to add clarification as needed based on feedback. I am happy to do so.
For the record, I have never been a member of the USCF, I do not know
any of the parties involved personally and I have no known vested
interest in this issue other than to help provide an honest and
accurate perspective of the Mottershead report.

My initial reaction to the Mottershead report was an appreciation
for the detailed level of evidence and chronology of research that is
provided. Typically, when doing computer forensics, it is common to
attempt to tie what you know with what you don't know. This is exactly
what Mr. Mottershead did, many times in his report. When you can
correlate the known with the unknown as many times as Mr. Mottershead
did in his report you create a crystal clear depiction of activity and
actions that can stand up on their own. Furthermore, subpoenaing
billing records from both ISPs and credit card companies can extend
this chain of evidence by directly linking an IP address to the ISP
and to an individual paying the bills. It is my opinion, and as I'll
show from some examples below, I find this step unnecessary.

Excerpt 1:

Since the IP addresses of Usenet posters are public information,
and in the USCF web logs and database I had information as to the IP
addresses of USCF members accessing the forums, it seemed likely that
I would be able to identify the USCF member account that was being
used by the Fake Sam Sloan to mis-appropriate USCF Issues forum posts
for his posts on Usenet.

Mr. Mottershead is accurate in his explanation of what he wants to
accomplish. He is correct in stating that Usenet postings are tied to
an IP address. The IP address recorded in these types of posts cannot
be spoofed. He also knows the login name for the parties involved on
the internal USCF member forums and their posting IP address. This too
cannot be spoofed. By connecting what he knows, with what is publicly
archived by Google (and others) he can create a direct correlation.

Mr. Mottershead shows clearly through examples (a) (b) and (c)
that the IP addresses posting to Usenet and the physical location of
Mr. Truong are directly connected. He also connects that to the known
forum identity of Mr. Truong. To be clear, three facts have just been
established:

1)The Usenet postings are being posted from the same physical
location that Mr. Truong is believed to be in at the time of the
posting.
2)The IP addresses on the USCF forums, which are tied to the
username used by Mr. Truong, are also being made from the same
physical location that Mr. Truong is believed to be in at the time of
the posting.
3)In nearly all cases, the IP addresses tied to the Usenet
postings are the same as the USCF forum posting IP addresses.

What about someone spoofing all of this?

Often, people say that they were spoofed or that their IP address
was hijacked. While it is possible that someone can sometimes change
his or her posting name on a forum or a message board to look like
that of another user (consider "Bob" and "Bob "), the IP address
cannot be spoofed.
Let me explain why an IP address cannot be spoofed. First, for a
post to Usenet to happen it requires that there exist, at the most
rudimentary level, what is known as the "TCP Three-way handshake."
This handshake is when two machines on the Internet wish to establish
a connection. In layman terms, in order for that handshake to occur
the sender extends a signal to the recipient saying, "Here I am, let's
talk." The recipient replies to the sender saying, "Okay, go ahead."
Finally the sender acknowledges that they have shaken hands. In order
for this back and forth to occur, which is required for any Usenet
posting to happen, the IP addresses cannot be spoofed or the handshake
would never complete.

What if someone was following around Mr. Truong?

This is highly unlikely given the preponderance of evidence,
however it can be easily proven false by correlating ISP billing
records to IP address leases. ISPs maintain a timestamped log of what
customer is assigned what IP address at what time.

What if someone used Mr. Truong's name on the ISP bill?

Again, as we enter areas of criminal identity fraud, it is
unlikely someone would go to these measures to cover their tracks,
however, this can be verified by contacting the credit card issuer and
verifying it is a legitimate account in good standing and correlating
purchases on the card with other known valid purchases.

Conclusion

The report provides over a dozen different data points from IP
addresses to locations to user-agents and more that all lead to a
single conclusion with an overwhelming amount of evidence. The methods
used by Mr. Mottershead were appropriate and accurate. There is also
far too much public evidence for it to have been tampered with. Even
if the forum logs were compromised, that doesn't change the Usenet
postings and the surrounding evidence, which could not have been
altered.

It's my belief that this report has been compiled in an accurate
way that deserves recognition for its comprehensive depth and detail.



Thank you,
David Ulevitch



Briefly, Brian Mottershead issued a report, now known as The
Mottershead Report, on September 26, 2007 in which he charged that
Paul Truong is responsible for assuming others' identities and posting
objectionable messages on Usenet's rec.games.chess.politics.

Robert Jones of Craic Computing LLC had issued an expert opinion
previously as well.

http://rs235.rapidshare.com/files/62...ottershead.zip
http://craic.com/forensics/uscf_usen...t_20071206.pdf

 




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